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Elections 2016 Exit polls: BJP set to storm Assam, LDF in Kerala, Mamata in Bengal, close contest in Tamil Nadu, Trouble for Sonia & Rahul

M Karunanidhi’s son Stalin might just be on his way to become CM of Tamil Nadu while pushing Congress deeper into the throes of anxiety about its state.Pollsters are unanimous that BJP and its allies are headed for a convincing victory, its maiden one, in Assam, with only one saying that the tally of NDA -which includes AGP and BPF – might fall tantalisingly short of the majority mark. Should the actual result follow the same trajectory, it will spell a big moment for BJP. Besides the satisfaction of wresting yet another state from Congress, a win in Assam will help the party’s effort to regain the political momentum it lost be cause of humiliations in Delhi and Bihar, and will put it in the right shape for the battles ahead, including that for the biggest electoral prize, UP.

More importantly, a saffron regime in Assam where Muslims account for one-third of the electorate will represent asuccess for the strategy of getting around the barrier of Muslim resistance by consolidating Hindu votes, something which will be of crucial importance for BJP. It will also be a boost for Amit Shah who overcame the shocks inflicted by Bihar and Delhi and supervised the game plan for Assam, scripting crucial moves like induction of Congress rebel Himanta Biswa Sarma and alliances with AGP and BPF .

M Karunanidhi’s son Stalin as CM of Tamil Nadu while pushing Congress deeper into the throes of anxiety about its state.Pollsters are unanimous that BJP and its allies are headed for a convincing victory, its maiden one, in Assam, with only one saying that the tally of NDA -which includes AGP and BPF – might fall tantalisingly short of the majority mark. Should the actual result follow the same trajectory, it will spell a big moment for BJP. Besides the satisfaction of wresting yet another state from Congress, a win in Assam will help the party’s effort to regain the political momentum it lost be cause of humiliations in Delhi and Bihar, and will put it in the right shape for the battles ahead, including that for the biggest electoral prize, UP.

More importantly, a saffron regime in Assam where Muslims account for one-third of the electorate will represent asuccess for the strategy of getting around the barrier of Muslim resistance by consolidating Hindu votes, something which will be of crucial importance for BJP. It will also be a boost for Amit Shah who overcame the shocks inflicted by Bihar and Delhi and supervised the game plan for Assam, scripting crucial moves like induction of Congress rebel Himanta Biswa Sarma and alliances with AGP and BPF .

Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) is the only party beating back the anti-incumbency wave. It is expected to make an impressive comeback in West Bengal. The ABP-Nielsen, News X-Chanakya and India TV-C Voter gave 178 seats, 210 seats and a range of 163-171 seats. According to the India Today-Axis survey, too, the TMC will get a clear majority with anything between 233 to 253 seats. The grand alliance of the Left and Congress are lagging way behind with 110 seats in the ABP-Nielsen poll, 70 in News X-Chanakya, 112 to 128 seats in India TV-C Voter and 38 to 51 seats, according to India Today-Axis exit polls. The half-way mark in West Bengal is 147.

 

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